September Silly Season For Gold
In recent years, supplies of most gold bullion coins, have become easier to get, having dried up in August. In 2008, the increasing supply has been swamped by continued strong demand, with near-panic levels of buying towards the end of the month, and into October, largely fuelled by the global banking and economic crisis. European Holidays
Secondary Market The phenomenon we have described above manifest itself because most of the investment gold bullion we handle comes from the secondary market. If we had to source most of our investment gold coins from the primary (new) market, we would need to increase our premiums ( i.e. charge more). We are reluctant to do this, as we try to provide the most competitive source of physical investment gold possible. As we have mentioned on other pages of our site, eventually we expect the pool of secondary market coins to deplete relative to demand, and when this happens, all premiums will increase accordingly. Panic Buying and Rip-Off Selling Because many investors and worried individuals have become spooked about the safety of their pensions, investments, bank deposits, and other financial instruments, we have seen a sharply increased level of buying. Some people seem to have been so determined to get hold of physical gold without waiting, that they have paid stupidly high premiums, in our opinion, to get them. We consider that some of the prices charged for common gold bullion items to be so high as to be considered a rip-off. Long or Short Term Thinking We try in the pages of our website to give sound and reasoned advice to investors. We take pride in avoiding short term opportunities to make excessive profits, we are not greedy. In normal times, we can balance supply and demand from week to week, and during August and September 2008, we believe we were managing to keep supplies flowing quite well, even though it was often taking slightly longer to source coins (and bars), than we would have liked. On a rising market, this can easily reduce or wipe out our profits on individual deals, days, or even weeks. We accept this risk as part of our business rather as a casino owner or bookmaker expects to lose occasionally. With over 40 years experience, we like to think we know how to manage this risk, although we try not to get complacent. We will often hedge a short position in one type of coin with a long position in another, sometimes in a different precious metal. Even after sustained periods of high demand and short supply, we still retain a substantial hedge in our other stocks. For example, we often have stocks of gold proof coin sets, and collectable sovereigns. While these are worth a relatively high premium, at 10% to 20%, compared with bullion coins at 5% premium, in the event that gold were to double in price overnight, we would be able to sell or scrap them to limit our losses. The fact that we deal in physical gold does have an advantage when it comes to situations which may otherwise place us at risk! Wider Stock Range
October Goldfest 2008 In October 2008, it already looks like gold buyers are in a festive and merry mood. November News 2008 Nearing normality in November? December Deliveries 2008
January Junket 2009 We also have an order for a further 5,000 new "bullion" sovereigns, which we believe will be ready for us on 6th January 2009. February Fasnacht Festival 2009 Including news from the World Money Fair in Berlin. March Mayhem? 2009
April Arrivals 2009
Flexibility We would remind potential investors to read our "flexibility" page, part of the gold investment advice section of our website. Investment Advice
Identification
Gold Prices
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![]() Gold - Your Flexible Friend |